Frozen study

Are the large liquidity reward pools free money?

No. Many of the biggest pools have a completely empty qualifying band.

9,900 markets carry a reward pool, paying out $164,661 a day between them. Of the 45 largest, 14 have a qualifying band with nothing in it at all, which is 31 percent. The quotes that do exist sit far outside the band the reward needs. The pool is large because it is unreachable, not despite it.

Data · 9,900 markets · 2026-07-31

Figures as published
Markets carrying a pool9,900
Pool paid out1.647e+05 USD per day
Largest pools probed45 markets
Of those, qualifying band emptynobody quotes inside the band the reward requires14 markets

Payload snapshot 2026-08-17. These figures are frozen; the interactive page reads the same file.

Full report (docs/research/reward_selection_2026-07-31.md) · Source module (src/reward_selection.py)

Research tool only: no investment advice, no order placement, no venue affiliation. Public Polymarket and Kalshi data, provided as-is.