Market Intel

Prediction-market microstructure, measured

Polymarket and Kalshi order books, recorded by this project's own collectors, then read with the costs left in. Every figure names its sample size and the day it was taken, and results that came out negative are published as they are.

• Frozen studies on order-book imbalance, order flow, market making, cross-venue gaps, reward pools and resolution rules.
• A small-stake live run and a pre-registered pilot, both closed and reported.
• Wallet track records counted per event and over settled positions only, with the sample gate stated.

The terminal itself needs a wide screen: the order-book and tape tables carry more columns than a phone can lay out. On this device it would be shown zoomed out rather than reflowed.