Frozen study
Does our own recorded book drift against the venue?
No drift found. 98.6% agreement, mean divergence 0.07 ticks.
Across 72 comparisons our book agreed with the venue 98.6 percent of the time. The average difference is 0.069 ticks and the worst single case 2.0 ticks, a fraction of one price step. 1 comparison drifted beyond tolerance and 0 were unusable.
Data · 72 observations · 24 tokens · 2026-07-31
| Agreement with the venue | 98.6 % |
|---|---|
| Mean divergence | 0.069 ticks |
| Largest divergence | 2 ticks |
| Comparisons | 72 |
Payload snapshot 2026-08-17. These figures are frozen; the interactive page reads the same file.
Full report (docs/research/book_reconcile_tick-2026-07-31.md) · Source module (src/book_reconcile.py)
Research tool only: no investment advice, no order placement, no venue affiliation. Public Polymarket and Kalshi data, provided as-is.