Research update
How many raw arbitrage scans survived validation and reached paper trading?
No validated opportunity reached paper trading in this 24-hour scan window.
The bot completed 278 of 335 scan cycles; 57 failed. It saw 2505 raw cross-venue, 838 raw negative-risk and 23 raw within-market candidates. Zero passed validation and zero became a paper trade. These are repeated scan counts, not separate available opportunities or realised profit.
Data · 2026-09-25 to 2026-09-26 (24 h)
| Cross-venue rawRepeated scanner occurrences | 2,505 scan hits |
|---|---|
| Negative-risk rawRepeated scanner occurrences | 838 scan hits |
| ValidatedAcross the three listed families | 0 candidates |
Payload snapshot 2026-10-12. These figures are frozen; the interactive page reads the same file.
Page export dates do not extend the observation period shown above.
Report (docs/research/update_arb_validation_funnel_2026-10-12.md) · Publication module (app/research_updates.py)
Research tool only: no investment advice, no order placement, no venue affiliation. Public Polymarket and Kalshi data, provided as-is.